Just read this on Barron’s Online:
Is the growth rate of Linux adoption slowing down? UBS software analyst Heather Bellini asks that provocative question in a rundown this morning on the findings of her firm’s latest survey of CIOs.
Bellini writes that of the 47% of CIOs in the survey who said they were not Linux users, just over 90% indicated that they would not deploy the open source operating system in 2007. She writes that this is a deviation from previous surveys which about 60% of the respondents did not plan to deploy Linux. Her conclusion: “We believe it should be expected that Linux operating system growth will slow from the significant grow rates of the past few years.”
It’s difficult to comment on this news without seeing the survey data being used to make this prediction.
Setting aside the Linux adoption question, we should consider the Linux usage & revenue question. The analyst doesn’t appear to address the growing use of Linux in shops that already use Linux; the whole, ‘try it, like it, use more’ scenario. Also not accounted is whether the 10% who are going to adopt Linux will add one copy each or add 100 copies each.
In any case, I’d guess that Linux adoption, usage and revenue is doing just fine, thank you very much.